Economic trends on the rise in January 2026

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Gold is firming towards $4,450–$5,000/oz, underpinned by sustained central bank buying and renewed ETF inflows.

Silver has advanced to $71–$72/oz, with upside to $85–$90/oz as industrial demand tightens an already constrained supply.

US GDP growth is accelerating to 2.4–3.0%, fuelled by AI-related capital expenditure and resilient household consumption.

Consumer spending remains robust, supported by 4.1% wage growth and elevated savings buffers

Fiscal policy remains broadly pro-growth, combining targeted tax rebates with continued public spending.

​​​​​​​Interest rates are expected to remain relatively stable, with only gradual and measured cuts from the Federal Reserve.

Global gold demand continues to benefit from a softer dollar and persistent geopolitical uncertainty.

Emerging markets are showing signs of recovery, aided by structural reforms and near-shoring in manufacturing.

Investment flows into AI and other innovation-led sectors are emerging as key drivers of productivity gains.

Global growth is expected to remain moderate at around 3.2%, supported by resilient corporate balance sheets.